UAH in the spotlight: latest news

The number of new COVID-19 cases in Ukraine fell by 20.4% over the past week, totaling 11,883 cases. Additionally, 19 deaths were reported.

Ukraine's government has agreed to the International Monetary Fund's forecast of a $65 billion financing gap that is expected to require foreign funding through 2027.

The National Bank of Ukraine announced that the official exchange rate for the hryvnia on September 23 is set at UAH 41.3811 per USD, representing a devaluation of 13 kopecks.

Last week, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) raised its U.S. dollar sales on the interbank market by $208.7 million, marking a 47.1% increase and totaling $651.5 million. However, this amount is 20% lower than the sales recorded during the same period last year.

The 2024/25 soybean season in Ukraine is expected to see a 40% increase in planted area compared to the previous year. However, yields are projected to decline by 6%, resulting in a total crop increase of 33%, setting a new record. Soybean exports are anticipated to rise by 28%, with 59% of the crop destined for export, slightly down from 61% in the 2023/24 season.

Ukraine is facing a significant population crisis, with approximately three deaths for every newborn baby. Data from the OpenDataBot platform indicates that 86,795 infants were born in the first half of 2025. The country is exploring the potential of baby bonuses as a strategy to encourage higher birth rates by the year 2050.

The International Monetary Fund has successfully persuaded the Ukrainian government to raise its forecast for additional financing to $65 billion.

Ukraine's government has revised its estimate of foreign funding requirements through 2027 to approximately $65 billion, following discussions with the International Monetary Fund.

Ukraine's government has agreed to the International Monetary Fund's forecast, which estimates a $65 billion financing gap in foreign funding needed through 2027.

The Director of the Financial Markets and Investment Activities Department at Globus Bank, Taras Lesovyi, discussed the expected fluctuations of the Ukrainian currency market next week, particularly regarding the dollar and euro exchange rates.

Roksolana Pidlasa, the head of the budget committee of the Verkhovna Rada, has urged Members of Parliament to avoid further increasing the budget deficit. She highlighted that one-third of the defense budget in 2026 will be allocated to specific areas.

Ukraine has allocated a record 955 billion hryvnias for weapons procurement in its 2026 budget, which constitutes one-third of its total defense budget of 2.8 trillion hryvnias. This marks the country's fifth consecutive wartime budget as it continues to prepare for ongoing military challenges.

The International Monetary Fund has updated its exchange rate forecast for Ukraine, now estimating that the dollar will reach 50 UAH by 2028. However, economists express skepticism regarding this prediction.

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Bread prices in Ukraine are consistently increasing each month. Experts predict that by the end of 2025, prices may rise by 11% to 23%, depending on the type of bread.

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Ukraine has submitted its draft budget for 2026 to Parliament, focusing on defense expenditures, including funding for weapons and military salaries, as well as support for families, all while ensuring public investments are sustained.

Ukraine has included the EUR exchange rate in its draft budget for the first time. The appendix titled "Forecast Calculation of Excise Tax on Electricity for 2026" projects an average exchange rate of 45.8 UAH per EUR for 2025.

Ukrposhta is projected to achieve profitability between 2025 and 2028, based on a baseline forecast. This scenario anticipates an average annual revenue growth of 9%, operating expenses increasing by 8%, and capital investments amounting to UAH 2.9 billion.

The draft state budget for 2026 projects a GDP growth of 2.4% and an expected year-end inflation rate of 9.9%, according to Zhelezniak, a member of Parliament from the Holos faction.

Ukrainians can expect a significant drop in temperatures this week, with forecasts predicting a low of +5 degrees Celsius. Meteorologists have shared details about the changing weather conditions across the country.

Soybean prices in Ukraine are declining due to the implementation of a 10% export duty on soybeans and rapeseed, which has nearly halted exports of soybeans.

For the first time, Ukraine's state budget includes a forecast of the average official exchange rate of the hryvnia against the euro.

The Ukrainian government anticipates that the country's public debt may reach 106% of its GDP by the end of 2026.

The National Bank of Ukraine has established the official exchange rate for the hryvnia at UAH 41.2317 per USD, reflecting an appreciation of the currency by 5 kopecks.